U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday to kick off a historically difficult month for markets, as AI drove Nvidia (NVDA) stock and chip stocks down. Meanwhile, the focus was on a week of data on the economy and labor market highlighted by a key monthly jobs report.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slipped 1%, or over 400 points. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 1.4%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) retreated 2.4%.
Stocks are retreating from the highs as Wall Street slumps after a swing in August, and a stormy September may be ahead. Investors are assessing the risk of data shocks or presidential race surprises in what is typically a terrible month for traders.
Early trading on Tuesday did not provide a bullish outlook. Nvidia ( NVDA ) fell more than 7% on Tuesday, as investors continue to pull back after a lackluster earnings report and lingering questions about the future of AI trading. Other chip stocks fell at the same time, with Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) down more than 5%.
There is also the August jobs report, due out on Friday, on the subject of concerns that could affect how deeply the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at its meeting this month. With inflation now cooling, policymakers are wary of a labor market collapse.
For investors, the focus is on whether the signs of a slowdown in the July jobs report were exaggerated – or an early warning of a wider slowdown. Any hints of stress should put pressure on the Fed to cut rates further. As of Tuesday, traders were pricing in 31% odds of a 50 basis point cut instead of 25 basis points, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.
A measure of US manufacturing ticked up last month, according to fresh figures from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). But the metric showed a slowdown in factory activity, reading below a threshold that suggests a contraction in the manufacturing sector.
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